Predictions with a track record
Our agent trades live on prediction markets and beats the market and frontier models on resolved questions. You start from a number that’s been proven with real money, not a hunch.
Building the intelligence layer for teams.
Knowable is the decision layer that humans and agents call to make choices grounded in calibrated probabilities.
The problem.
High-stakes decisions still run on gut feel. Shipping firms route around geopolitical risk on executive intuition. Multinationals plan supply chains on a leadership read of tariffs. Asset managers size positions on PM conviction. And the bill keeps coming due: 80% of executives were caught off guard by 2025’s tariff shifts, and domain experts miss more than half of the geopolitical questions they’re asked.
Our vision: calibrated predictions, on demand.
The same agent that trades live on prediction markets, pointed at the calls your business makes every week. Will demand hold through Q3? Is this the moment to move on price? How exposed are we if tariffs shift? Knowable turns market-tested forecasting into something a team can rely on, and an agent can query. No hedging. No noise. Just objective, calibrated odds that sharpen every decision you make.
Performance
Real results from the production agent over the last 30 days, scored against the market and other frontier models.
Live trading (Kalshi) results
100% bankroll
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Today
ForecastBench: we beat the humans and the labs
On ForecastBench’s contamination-free prediction-market questions, Knowable out-forecasts the superforecaster median (the human gold standard) and beats every frontier lab on the board.
Market score
higher is better
| Forecaster | Market score |
|---|---|
| Knowable | 77.1 |
| Superforecaster median human gold standard | 76.3 |
| Google DeepMind — Gemini | 76.0 |
| xAI — Grok | 72.9 |
Standings as of June 29, 2026. Find us on the public leaderboard as “Anonymous 8” (tick “show anonymous teams”).
Why teams work with us
Pointed at your decisions
Demand, risk, pricing, timing — we adapt the agent to the questions your team actually faces and the data you already have, so the forecast speaks to your business, not a generic market.
Calibration you can audit
Every forecast is scored against what actually happened. You see exactly where the model is sharp and where it isn’t, so you know how much to trust each call instead of guessing.
Let’s talk
If your team wrestles with demand, risk, pricing, or timing, we’d love to show you how AI can sharpen those calls.
Interested in what we’re building? Get in touch at hello@getknowable.ai.